Main Points

History is Now

Talk about ambitious. This era has barely begun. In truth, it would certainly be best practice to wait a few decades and allow things to take their course. It is always easier to see trends looking back than when you are in the middle of them. Nevertheless, I was born in the Mechanized Era and I'm a student of history. It would be absurd to try to lump together what is happening in the 21st century with the 20th century world that was dominated by two (almost three) world wars. Society has clearly been transformed and it seems intellectually dishonest not to do the best I can to define that change in our own time. However premature it may be, and however much my ego may suffer over the long term. ;)

So I apologize as we proceed, if I cannot be as clear as I have been, or if – in hindsight – I turn out to be less than entirely correct. I hope to reveal the transformation going on around us, for my contemporaries and for those who will have the benefit of hindsight. Nor will I attempt to be as professional, since there is no way for me to discuss the Information Era as objectively as events two thousand years ago. I will simply try to convey the Information Era as accurately as I can by communicating it from inside my own eyes. If it proves little better than prognostication or fortune telling, please forgive me. It is, after all, difficult to see the forest when there are so many trees in the way.

Birth of the Internet

1994 is very clear in my memory. I was quite literally stepping out into a new world myself, having just graduated from college. I was very interested in the latest developments in technology because my student discount at the University of Oregon bookstore was about to expire, and many of my friends were computer science majors at the time. So I distinctly remember a computer station set up to demonstrate Mosaic. It was the first internet browser in history, and even then you could type in "www." whatever you wanted. There were few places to visit, nor did most of them look particularly interesting. But it was all right there.

As someone who had hacked around the FTP networks and chat forums – thanks to my computer buddies and our connections in the computer gaming community – I instantly recognized how much more useful and easier this was. I think it was clear to everyone that browsers would be a much friendlier way to use the new internet. Soon after, the Netscape browser was introduced, and with more and more people posting their own websites, the internet began to assume the shape it has today, a simple, easy way to access a massive community around the world. I think only a few people, if anyone, realized what this would really mean. 1994 was the same year that Tim Berners-Lee – the creator of the World Wide Web in 1990 – founded the World Wide Web Consortium (W3C), a group of scientists and major technology company representatives dedicated to creating standards for the new web.

Bringing people together and allowing them to collaborate in new and powerful ways has been a key theme in the development of all eras: cities and careers in the Formative Era, literacy and education in the Ancient Era, religion in the Medieval Era, nationalism and mass printing in the Renaissance, realism in the Industrial Era, mass communication and mass culture in the Mechanized Era, and the internet in the Information Era. Even in this list of achievements the Internet stands out. The development of widespread literacy in the Ancient Era and the printing industry in the Renaissance may be the only other transformations like it. Yet as an avenue for the publication of new information, the Internet is quickly assuming the proportions of an online library with 24 / 7 availability to everyone in their own homes. The now dizzying variety of information available makes it clear that in the future, human knowledge will be primarily accessed through this and whatever successor technologies emerge in the future. By storing everything in one place, the Internet is making it possible for knowledge possessed by only a single person somewhere on Earth to be known by anyone who needs that information with the touch of a button.

Even with its ease of use, the Internet is also unprecedented in its ability to serve as a platform for the delivery of entire mediums. If the medium is the message, the Internet speaks volumes. As various mediums convert to using digital technology, each medium becomes compatible with internet transmission. Thus the TV set used for television, the radio boombox used for radio broadcasts, the movie theater used for movies, applications and FTP servers used for computer code (used online in an application or provided as source code for download), the newspapers and magazines used for print (which is now typically written in digital word processing files), and media players for multimedia files (audio and / or video) are all capable of being delivered to anyone, anywhere using the Internet and an internet browser.

The ease of use and the accessibility of so many different kinds of content would have been unthinkable... Was unthinkable just a few years ago. And every day new uses, new functions, new applications, and new content are joining the web. The only thing that is certain is the no one can see where this will end or all the ways in which this invention will transform – and assist other developments in transforming – society in the future. It is the single most powerful tool for the exchange of information in history, the dominant force transforming how we learn, how we work, and how we play in the 21st century. It is the Internet that defines the beginning of the Information Era.

It is difficult to convey the sense in which this has changed how we think about our world. We used to have libraries filled with the treasures of lifetimes of other civilizations. Now it is all at our fingertips. When I was a child, my parents would have friends over for dinner and inevitably the same snippet of conversation would appear once or twice throughout each party. "Do you remember the guy on that TV show?" "Yeah, what was his name?" or "When did Texas Instruments develop the first silicon chip?" "I'm not sure, I can look it up when I get home. I have a book on the early history of computing." These questions went unanswered 99% of the time. The same conversations were had by Formative Era Sumerian friends trying to remember the last great flood or when a particularly nasty rival ruler died. The same conversations were had by me and my friends in college in 1994. However, in the 21st century, there's no such thing as a quiz you can't pass. With a computer in almost every home and a palm computer in many people's pockets, the answer to any question is just seconds away. While science fiction writers have written of cyborgs with computers built into their brains, we have already developed the Internet to the point where it serves as a backup memory for any person with internet access. It is virtually impossible today to "forget" anything when you need it because it can so easily be "remembered" off the Internet (whether you even knew the information before or not).

The Web 2.0 Movement

The Internet has even redefined business and power in the 21st century. While initially used by large corporations to consolidate their power and control as they had always done in the Mechanized Era, new concepts in communication and interaction emerged in the Information Era called Web 2.0. The Web 2.0 movement defined a new paradigm where a website or web application's users were not merely passive recipients of television or other media signals; users became content authors and the communication became not just one-way (corporate to user) or two-way (also user to corporate) but multi-way (including users to users). While each company made its own choices about how much control it demanded, internet giants like Amazon and eBay were built almost overnight to rival the largest Mechanized Era corporation. They leveraged the power of their users by building platforms which allowed their users to interact more or less directly in the business, a community-building technique termed social networking.

While these companies yielded a tremendous amount of control over corporate messaging to their users, their ability to grow made a clear statement that tremendous rewards were available to insightful businesses that were willing to be part of a conversation rather than simply dictating to their customers. And yet this should not be construed as an indication that the web had completely opened up the world. Control over key internet addresses (URLs or domain names) gave certain websites the ability to monopolize their industry and dominate their competition. No one did anything illegal or in anyway undercut their competition, but the possession of the right name or being first and popular for an emerging industry or service allowed the ease of arriving at a website (as opposed to its rivals) a virtual monopoly on the industry. This is how a small internet search engine company called Google snowballed its growing popularity into internet mega-dominance along with the leading technology industry titans like IBM, Microsoft, Apple, and Sun Microsystems.

Globalization

The Internet has driven incredible changes. Its ability to store knowledge from diverse media makes any previous medium (print, movies, etc.) or institution (like libraries) seem pale in comparison. Its ability to allow people to communicate across the street or around the world may not be original, but the ability to do so easily and virtually free – with just a computer and an internet connection – is unprecedented. Yet this is only the most obvious way in which people around the world are being supported in the creation of a larger community than has ever before been attempted. A global community.

The fact is that transportation has made enormous strides. At the beginning of the Mechanized Era, there were still places where people lived their entire lives within thirty miles of where they were born. Today, they may live on three different continents in their lifetime, and yet don't even need to leave their house to have the latest technogadget or tacky piece of kitchen kitsch delivered to their door in even the most remote locations. Ships like the Titanic which used to set speed records carrying passengers across the oceans in just days, have been replaced by supersonic jets which will transport you around the globe in a matter of hours. And horses which served as the dominant form of transportation in 1900 AD, have been replaced by cars that routinely take people hundreds of miles in a day to work, to play, or wherever. Current trends include the commercialization of space travel; anyone want to go the Moon for spring break?

Nations are also becoming more integrated economically and politically. Routine meetings of state leaders and representatives are held frequently, creating the right atmosphere for trade between two countries has become even more critical than warfare in many areas. The result is a convergence in travel regulations, laws, and customs. Foreign soil no longer seems so foreign to people whose economies are inextricably linked and who all get the same syndicated television shows via internet download.

With the Internet consolidating human knowledge, transportation making it possible to go almost anywhere, and international regulations and traditions that are making it easier than ever for people to move across borders, the world looks smaller than it used to. The mysterious far corners of the globe are too accessible now to carry the same mystique. Not that we have seen an end to change by any means. But I think that henceforth it will be transformations in a global culture. The process and the amount of time necessary to create a unified world state is a matter for discussion, and certainly the form it will take is almost entirely up in the air, but I do not believe there can be any possible doubt that this will be the ultimate outcome of globalization.

A key result of this will be a major transformation in the way we look at economics. To date, international trade has been a key component of healthy economies. Current thinking has identified isolationism and protectionism as completely destructive economic forces. And yet when viewed from a global perspective, the global economy has no exterior trading partners and yet has grown by leaps and bounds from the Renaissance on. While the implementation of economic policy may not need significant restructuring, clearly our understanding of why and how the economy works will get a new global perspective in the coming years.

Who Knows?

It is clearly far too early to tell much beyond this. The Renaissance exploded with the advent of Nationalism and a resurgence of learning. The Medieval Era clearly begins with the collapse of ancient dynasties and the emergence of religion. Here too, the Information Age has blown onto the scene like a thunderclap. The Internet has clearly rung in the revolution; but where it will go, is murky at best. However, there are some trends which may be worth keeping an eye on...

  • Computers - Certainly computer technology and the Internet will continue to improve. Manufacturing is becoming more and more automated and roboticized. The miniaturization of electronic devices has gone so far that they are limited by what a human being is capable of using, all while doing more and more. People are constantly finding new ways and new features to add to the Internet; in hindsight it may be obvious, but currently we can't really see where all these different trends are going.
  • Biotechnology - The investigation of technology based on life systems and organic chemistry has emerged not just as a way to support medicine but for manufacturing of almost any kind. A relatively new area of investigation in this sense, its growth has been staggering and its possibilities almost impossible to gauge. Cloning of all kinds from complete humans, to designer fetuses, to organs are all relative certainties. Further the increased advances and control prove to eliminate a lot of the ethical issues which currently cloud the profession. Embryonic stem cell research will likely bite the dust within the next decade once scientists determine how to make adult stem cells behave the same way. This will greatly expand that area of research. Further practice will undoubtedly improve the success rate of invitro fertilization, eliminating the current Frankensteinian techniques and the irresponsible creation of sex/sept/octuplets by families which cannot possibly provide for them. On the other hand, we stand on the brink of designer organisms, the "invention" of new species, and custom designed "slaves" intelligent enough for service but deliberately designed to fail any tests for legal citizenship. Indeed, the next generation of ethical dilemmas seems poised to dwarf all previous moral questions faced by the human race.
  • Empirical Social Science - History, criminology, psychology, sociology, political science, public policy and planning, education, and many other social sciences have long been considered... less than scientific. The distinction extends to their names, I've usually heard these referred to as the "soft" sciences; as opposed to the "hard" sciences like physics and chemistry where answers are correct or incorrect and mathematics is the tool used to arbitrate the truth. This view is being transformed by the development of more sophisticated mathematics, new medical technologies like PET scans and MRIs, and quite literally a century or more of hard work in these disciplines. Mathematics, the primary dividing line between hard and soft sciences is growing to encompass more and more pieces of the social sciences, and there's no reason to believe that this trend will stop in the foreseeable future.
  • Environmentalism - With industries accomplishing miracles world-wide, both for better and for worse, the power of human beings has become a fact of life. With transportation and communication effectively shrinking our conception of the world, everyday it becomes easier and easier to see the impact that we have on our planet. The natural result has been increased interest and concern for the well-being of our planet. Entirely new fields once deemed "interesting" in the Mechanized Era have become mainstream necessities like alternative energy and sustainability. The Information Era has sought simpler non-processed solutions to problems which used to be solved with metal, force and chemicals. Current trends include organic foods, animal and ecosystem conservation, home gardening, recycling, biodegradable materials, and more. This movement is finding new, simpler ways to live and do what we are doing in ways that better integrate with the world around us. In the future, as with any endeavor, we will undoubtedly move beyond simply doing what we've done before, and finding new discoveries in technology, society, and other fields which derive from the environmentalist movement.

I think all these things could contribute to the next great transformation in our culture. Or none of them. Perhaps something entirely new that we have never imagined before will so transform our world that it will mark the next era. The emergence of religion defined the Medieval Era, yet the concept would have been wholly unimaginable to the Greeks or the Achmenid Persians at the beginning of the previous Era. They had yet to build the empires whose collapse would ignite the fear and doubt which paved the way for the birth of religion. Similarly, I don't believe it's possible for anyone to guess at the future of today, though in hindsight some people may turn out to be right. Interested in the Information Era? What are your insights?

To be continued...